Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

1. 1

   Down 8pp over 24h

   Now 9¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $5.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

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This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.