Any-Screening
0xb879db1c52f0ea8617b50fbea7a441de0dc14a75
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$9.75
Total PnL
$-6.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.17
$0.21
- NO
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.17
$0.17
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
4 shares @ 98.4¢·now 34.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$-2.58
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?$3.96Nov 10, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$4.00Nov 10, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$4.00Nov 10, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$4.00Nov 10, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?$4.95Nov 10, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire in 2025?$5.02Nov 10, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?$5.04Nov 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?$5.00Oct 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?$5.00Oct 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire in 2025?$5.00Oct 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$2.43Oct 22, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US military action against Iran before August?$2.17Oct 22, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMElon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$2.38Oct 22, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? $2.38Oct 22, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMYoon arrested before September?$2.60Oct 22, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$3.61Oct 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before August?$2.00Jul 1, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$2.00Jul 1, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? $2.00Jul 1, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested before September?$2.00Jul 1, 11:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.