Dizzy-Pantologist
0xb87dc2ef0f5709950b56be19d2c711b680616ae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.94
Total PnL
$12.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
75 shares @ -0.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$0.85
- YES
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?
75 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.11
$0.14
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
754 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
754 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
754 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
754 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
754 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
754 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
754 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
754 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$50.00Apr 27, 02:45 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of MrBeast video day 4? (Higher strikes)$75.00Mar 11, 14:37 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Seoul on March 11?$50.00Mar 11, 14:35 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of MrBeast video day 4? (Higher strikes)$125.00Mar 11, 14:35 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets March 9 - March 11, 2026?$125.00Mar 11, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 67 million views on day 4?$24.68Mar 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 65 million views on day 4?$22.52Mar 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 67 and 69 million views on day 4?$24.73Mar 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4?$3.25Mar 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4?$23.57Mar 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 65 million views on day 4?$17.02Mar 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4?$16.00Mar 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4?$14.92Mar 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 59 million views on day 4?$24.95Mar 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 67 million views on day 4?$24.82Mar 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$24.88Mar 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$18.73Mar 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$9.00Mar 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$22.32Mar 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$24.98Mar 11, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $13.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 02:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.