Kindhearted-Steel
0xb87fb360cb36b252a237b11b18d9a4127ee3f7d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$70.75
Realised
$74.24
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
172 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$170.48
$0.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?
160 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$158.32
$0.56
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
128 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$127.81
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
127 shares @ 91.6¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$120.01
$3.45
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$99.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
80 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$79.96
$0.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
50 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$50.45
$0.62
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
48 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$47.50
$1.07
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
45 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$45.33
$0.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
45 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$44.80
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$2.90Jul 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$1.21Jul 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$2.99Jul 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$0.81Jul 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$1.77Jul 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$1.75Jul 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$3.18Jul 13, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$2.40Jul 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$1.05Jul 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$8.64Jul 13, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$8.63Jul 13, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$7.62Jul 13, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$0.49Jul 13, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$0.47Jul 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$1.55Jul 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$2.16Jul 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$3.56Jul 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$3.63Jul 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$12.66Jul 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$1.60Jul 13, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.