Improbable-Beggar
0xb88184b6730a0b42e07cf8cc259429b539406e39
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-139.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
737 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will Diego Luna (Andor) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
436 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- YES
Will Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?
307 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
223 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will Britt Lower (Severance) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
184 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-22.65
- YES
Will Jude Law (Black Rabbit) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
117 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
101 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
71 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-34.24
- YES
Will Emma Stone (Bugonia) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
44 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- YES
Will Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
42 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$190.19Feb 9, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$188.27Feb 9, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$8.59Jan 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$11.78Jan 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$8.00Jan 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$7.01Jan 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$2.51Jan 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.86Jan 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.98Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$4.79Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$3.75Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$5.68Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.72Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.08Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?$4.46Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3.65Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?$2.82Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.72Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.83Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.94Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".