Sad-Mountain
0xb8a76dd32290ca2e36c657ade1eca5cad86ff655
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$77.89
Realised
$-7.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.7K
$682.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$367.50
$-682.50
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
428 shares @ 50.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$278.46
$64.26
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$271.49
$10.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?
114 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$113.39
$0.74
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
100 shares @ 87.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.85
$12.65
- NO
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
101 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$97.79
$0.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.76
$0.94
- YES
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
7058 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.64
$-3.53
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
156 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.39
$-0.23
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.22Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$923.80Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$977.61Jun 11, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$22.02Jun 11, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?$112.71Jun 11, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by September 30, 2026?$97.80Jun 11, 06:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.06Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$27.81Jun 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$168.82Jun 3, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$109.55Jun 3, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $83.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.