Scared-Administrator
0xb8ad2849635c9ce413f1fdd2e7b364bbfafeff58
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$45.5K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
73%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
4000 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.0K
$14.00
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
3000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.9K
$63.40
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
2800 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.7K
$66.16
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
2640 shares @ 81.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$301.66
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
3452 shares @ 43.5¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$467.18
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
1600 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$12.42
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
1600 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$17.40
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1578 shares @ 90.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.6K
$115.43
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1800 shares @ 82.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.5K
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1687 shares @ 64.8¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$247.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38.58Jun 13, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.42Jun 13, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.06Jun 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$51.14Jun 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$1.85Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$53.60Jun 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$1.75Jun 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$194.20Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$976.00Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$33.08Jun 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$90.91Jun 13, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$126.00Jun 13, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.7KJun 13, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.88Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.72Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$2.82Jun 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$33.83Jun 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$63.63Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$5.71Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$4.74Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $122.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.