Scared-Administrator
0xb8ad2849635c9ce413f1fdd2e7b364bbfafeff58
Quality score
84/100
Open positions
158
Open notional
$50.9K
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$-2.1K
Win rate
62%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- NO
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
5071 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.0K
$243.61
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
4075 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.9K
$30.53
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
5614 shares @ 60.1¢·now 51.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.9K
$-511.73
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
3253 shares @ 85.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.8K
$66.05
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
2600 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.6K
$74.21
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
2200 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.2K
$21.11
- NO
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
2068 shares @ 90.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.0K
$135.70
- NO
Iran leadership change by April 30?
2067 shares @ 89.1¢·now 95.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.0K
$124.10
- NO
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
1949 shares @ 92.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.9K
$102.35
- YES
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
5103 shares @ 32.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.8K
$202.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$36.393h ago
- TRADESELLWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$70.003h ago
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$42.043h ago
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$60.195h ago
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$55.866h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$73.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$4.206h ago
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$8.356h ago
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.146h ago
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$22.806h ago
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.816h ago
- YIELD$0.016h ago
- REWARD$1.596h ago
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$62.246h ago
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$28.196h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$120.858h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$44.008h ago
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$194.598h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$496.508h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$62.588h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $52.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.