Substantial-Pliers
0xb8af4ce22ed41f74abf0e155818227e5f7e1981d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$411.45
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$232.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
380 shares @ 52.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$214.66
$17.06
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1222 shares @ 6.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$183.88
$110.72
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1300 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.40
$-93.60
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
996 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.49
$-100.10
- YES
Another Canada election called by June 30?
7 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-1.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
4615 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-260.99
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
3560 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-320.40
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
2151 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-150.57
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
1300 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-546.99
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
600 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-174.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$50.00Jun 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$26.00Jun 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$23.00Jun 12, 18:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $41.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.