Icky-Temporariness
0xb8b530e2ee88165f930b2047d9ae41208db2956a
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$223.33
Total PnL
$-889.77
Realised
$42.81
Win rate
100%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?
228 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$223.33
$1.03
- NO
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7AM ET
427 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-76.94
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3AM ET
90 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3AM ET
40 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1PM ET
30 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8PM ET
30 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4AM ET
30 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1AM ET
30 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$222.6913h ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$222.5518h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$220.922d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?$216.463d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?$4.823d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?$160.656d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?$59.176d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?$52.726d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?$101.007d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?$66.178d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?$99.0411d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?$49.1111d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?$49.9011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?$34.2712d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?$14.1612d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?$14.1612d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?$60.7212d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?$49.0212d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?$59.9913d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?$46.5513d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $87.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 25d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
