Quirky-Correspondent
0xb8c5a3aef58257cef089ac56ac88e35103fd5b26
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$9.88Jul 31, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$10.00Jul 31, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$3.78Jul 31, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$3.06Jul 31, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$4.73Jul 31, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$3.13Jul 31, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$5.33Jul 31, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$4.43Jan 22, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$4.93Jan 22, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$4.94Jan 22, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.05Jan 22, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.10Jan 22, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.15Jan 22, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$10.10Jan 21, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.25Jan 21, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.95Jan 21, 16:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 21, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$4.93Jan 20, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.00Jan 19, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 07:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.