Formal-Cupcake
0xb8c842bc049bf208f73354c7b037b811d741d8a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
199
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-177.8K
Realised
$-69.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 199- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.3K
$13.00
- YES
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23?
4242 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?
4167 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?
4077 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- HOUSTON ASTROS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
3600 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
3561 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?
3529 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. Canadiens
3529 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
3529 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- CANUCKS
Lightning vs. Canucks
3448 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins$1.3KJun 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins$1.3KJun 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.3KJun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.3KJun 11, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)$2.8KJun 11, 11:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.33Jun 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)$101.56Jun 10, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)$591.58Jun 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)$5.46Jun 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)$514.87Jun 10, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-6.5)$116.67Jun 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.3KJun 10, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.3KJun 9, 13:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08Jun 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)$272.50Jun 7, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)$15.00Jun 7, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.3KJun 7, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)$1.0KJun 7, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$3.0KJun 7, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$3.0KJun 7, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $678.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 11:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.