Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?
Probability
97¢
1h
+33.0pp
24h
+25.0pp
24h Vol
$902.3K
Liquidity
$24.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+25.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 19:49SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 19:48PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 97¢
- 18:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 65¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 68¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 68¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 67¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 67¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 67¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 67¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 67¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 67¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 67¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 68¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 68¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 69¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 69¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 69¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 70¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 70¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- BUYUP2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- BUYUP2m ago
- BUYUP2m ago
- BUYHAMISH STEWART2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- BUYUP2m ago
- SELLOVER2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- SELLNO2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If RB Leipzig wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 24, 2026
- Resolution source
- https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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