Direct-Bough
0xb8cf9c179ded82620c9d5738b9d49677cf81829a
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$30.97
Total PnL
$0.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
21 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$19.00
$-0.32
- SV WERDER BREMEN
Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$11.97
$1.08
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
4 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$19.37May 17, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)$10.92Apr 17, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Project Hail Mary" be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$180.00Apr 2, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Reminders of Him" be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$0.00Mar 31, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$0.00Mar 31, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$0.00Mar 31, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "They Will Kill You" be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$0.00Mar 31, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMGame 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$16.98Mar 31, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 29?$14.99Mar 30, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 on March 29?$20.96Mar 30, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.00Mar 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?$985.69Mar 29, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?$985.69Mar 29, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?$3.50Mar 29, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?$36.29Mar 29, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?$39.79Mar 29, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?$1.0KMar 29, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?$429.43Mar 29, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?$597.34Mar 29, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$53.20Mar 29, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $342.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".