Selfish-Boatload
0xb8d13c754ba931eef2ce1906e540f06b24c7df28
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$11.74
Total PnL
$-52.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.92
$0.04
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.82
$0.22
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 1?
1125 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 25?
1119 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 20?
1113 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 13?
1108 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 9-15?
1107 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 26?
1107 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 24?
1105 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1?
1101 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$12.37Jul 25, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$12.35Jul 24, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$18.28Jul 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$18.14Jul 13, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?$19.16Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?$19.10Jul 7, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?$11.69Jul 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?$11.65Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.30Jul 1, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$7.00Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.99Jun 25, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.28Jun 20, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$19.10Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$19.00Jun 9, 04:06 UTC
- REWARD$0.27Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.44Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$19.18Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$19.10May 26, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?$19.10May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?$19.01May 18, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $77.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.