Mature-Morphology
0xb8e4e83e7bbea3f30de787d3d2056cb845b2effe
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$98.13
Total PnL
$-11.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu out by March 31?
53 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$53.48
$3.48
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.48
$1.48
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.58
$0.58
- NO
Claude 4.7 released by March 15?
10 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
11 shares @ 91.9¢·now 68.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.44
$-2.56
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
13 shares @ 78.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$15.00Mar 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$5.00Mar 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$10.00Mar 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$50.00Mar 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by March 15?$10.00Mar 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$10.00Mar 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00Mar 13, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $15.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 23:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.