Noxious-Newsletter
0xb902b04e7eedb83aad70fff0eebbefa1975e31e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-617.09
Realised
$8.01
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
300 shares @ 80.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$250.50
$10.00
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
216 shares @ 77.8¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$201.20
$33.20
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
200 shares @ 62.0¢·now 90.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$181.70
$57.70
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
160 shares @ 66.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.84
$49.24
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.50
$12.50
- NO
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
73 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.20
$5.46
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
100 shares @ 56.1¢·now 54.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.80
$-1.30
- YES
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
88 shares @ 56.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2026$39.82
$-9.73
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
38 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.96
$0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$15.00May 18, 11:32 UTC
- REWARD$4.22May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$4.16May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$2.52May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$10.00May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$28.01May 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$1.56May 18, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$2.23May 18, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$56.10May 18, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$15.40May 17, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$6.60May 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$10.07May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$3.09May 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$5.15May 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$25.76May 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$7.29May 17, 21:09 UTC
- MERGEIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$39.93May 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$19.18May 17, 19:58 UTC
- MERGEWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$6.57May 17, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $14.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 02:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".