Growing-Federation
0xb917e4ab902f54f3595002bf6b7c1b9e71ef7701
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-53.51
Realised
$-1.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
46 shares @ 13.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.53
$-5.47
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
3500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UNDER
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.35May 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.35May 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.35May 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.35May 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.35May 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.35May 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.35May 19, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMNewcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score$1.52May 18, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMNewcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5$3.23May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNewcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5$2.02May 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNewcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score$1.01May 17, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score$1.59May 17, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-16?$4.00May 17, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.95May 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-16?$2.03May 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score$1.01May 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5$2.52May 15, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".