Thirsty-Formula
0xb93e1ee2f0e75da434fef356c11e533b7813b8fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.7K
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$-890.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
13943 shares @ 54.4¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.5K
$-131.36
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
34319 shares @ 20.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$-2.9K
- YES
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?
12241 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-283.99
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
10576 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
10449 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-419.99
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
9194 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-419.38
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
8972 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
8375 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-88.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.38Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$6.14Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.18Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.11Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$3.88Jun 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$500.00Jun 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$2.02Jun 11, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$9.09Jun 11, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$246.65Jun 11, 12:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.29Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$6.6KJun 9, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$29.18Jun 9, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$11.00Jun 9, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$6.98Jun 9, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$214.95Jun 9, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $699.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.