Knowing-Garbage
0xb940f679a2311688b8f404879fdbf34eaffa85bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-773.07
Realised
$-50.68
Win rate
33%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
370 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
287 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-60.02
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
258 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
235 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
227 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
109 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-16.88
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
75 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.69
- YES
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?
49 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.79Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.70Jul 28, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.06Jul 27, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3.25Jul 27, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.85Jul 27, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$3.43Jul 27, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.92Jul 26, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$14.36Jul 26, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3.16Jul 26, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.79Jul 26, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$3.28Jul 25, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$6.68Jul 23, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.34Jul 23, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.18Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$6.40Jul 22, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$14.21Jul 22, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.09Jul 22, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$6.30Jul 22, 16:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$3.24Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
45 closed markets, 33% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.