Lively-Tornado
0xb9a4f009bedf8b89a520fc16ff79cf7f233f264e
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$42.98
Total PnL
$9.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
22 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$21.57
$10.57
- YES
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
19 shares @ 63.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.80
$6.80
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.61
$-7.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.46Jan 31, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$12.00Jan 31, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$11.00Jan 31, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?$0.00Jan 31, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$0.00Jan 31, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$0.00Jan 31, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$0.00Jan 31, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$14.82Jan 31, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$18.64Jan 31, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$12.33Nov 4, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$11.00Nov 4, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?$7.00Nov 4, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.38Nov 4, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?$13.56Nov 4, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$15.39Nov 4, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$11.57Aug 19, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?$8.00Aug 19, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$10.00Aug 19, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on August 31?$19.43Aug 19, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEM25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?$10.14Aug 19, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $11.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.