High-Level-Darkness
0xb9a7c8205b89600735500acab25eea84635834aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.49
Realised
$33.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2068 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.05
- YES
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1188 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?
136 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.90
- YES
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.95
- NO
Will Underneath the Tree - Kelly Clarkson be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?
80 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.40
- YES
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
20 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- NO
Will Norway win the 2025 IHF Women’s World Championship?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $105 (HIGH) by end of February?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?$176.20Jul 3, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$19.99Apr 8, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$46.76Apr 8, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.31Mar 21, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$148.69Mar 21, 06:30 UTC
- REWARD$0.27Mar 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.11Mar 19, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$170.10Mar 19, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$56.74Mar 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$161.46Mar 19, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$40.00Mar 19, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$39.48Mar 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.44Mar 15, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$21.74Mar 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$30.43Mar 15, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$82.52Mar 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?$22.56Mar 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?$55.40Mar 12, 12:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 22, 00:48 UTC
- MERGEWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$150.00Feb 21, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $36.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.