Grounded-Sleet
0xb9ae857441cce110c520b904c8c5f2705f4b84ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$17.66
Total PnL
$-4.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
3 shares @ 65.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$3.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.00Feb 11, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 5, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.00Jan 28, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$1.00Jan 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Jan 5, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$1.00Dec 25, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$1.00Dec 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Dec 10, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$1.00Nov 12, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?$1.00Nov 6, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?$1.00Oct 29, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shohei Ohtani hit the most home runs in the 2025 MLB Postseason?$1.00Oct 22, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 15, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.11Oct 9, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?$1.35Oct 9, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Oct 9, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 25?$1.00Sep 24, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.00Sep 11, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 12:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.