Serene-Warrant
0xb9d36cf0f05690067a3c8bd025480fc1444895f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$32.86
Total PnL
$-0.60
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.65
$-0.35
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.59
$-0.01
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$0.00
- NO
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$4.38
$0.13
- NO
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 81.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.09
$-0.21
- NO
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$4.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.63
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.74Jun 14, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.90Jun 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.10Jun 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.90Jun 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$4.60Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$4.50Jun 12, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.85Jun 12, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.71Jun 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$4.30Jun 12, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$3.90Jun 12, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.10Jun 12, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.31Jun 11, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.90Jun 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.07Jun 11, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$48.01Jun 11, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$46.00Jun 1, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$45.38Jun 1, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$44.12May 30, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$44.52May 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$30.40May 29, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $20.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.