Alarmed-Penalty
0xb9db172163e9d844da7de8c6b29409fafd0794e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$43.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
1618 shares @ 86.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-32.64
- NO
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1255 shares @ 79.7¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$991.33
$-8.67
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2364 shares @ 16.5¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$431.36
$41.37
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2366 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$393.94
$31.94
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2360 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$267.90
$5.90
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2360 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$213.62
$10.62
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2368 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$197.71
$-8.29
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2365 shares @ 7.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$195.10
$20.10
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2365 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$121.82
$-1.18
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2353 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$81.18
$1.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.38May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.2KMay 17, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$70.16May 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$72.25May 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$287.55May 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$601.68May 16, 11:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 7, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $526.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".