Different-Gas
0xba3457ad33022829dc81eca7a803cecbbc24f1e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$215.03
Total PnL
$-181.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$38.75
$13.75
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
47 shares @ 53.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.42
$5.42
- YES
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$26.44
$1.44
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 18.2¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.05
$-0.94
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.57
$-6.43
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.52
$-8.48
- YES
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 30.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.70
$6.70
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.48
$-0.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$15.66Jul 11, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?$2.07Jul 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.92Jul 11, 07:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 7, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$51.56Jul 7, 13:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$55.25Jul 6, 17:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$30.48Jul 4, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.57Jul 4, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 4, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$50.84Jul 4, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $30.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.