0xba38f6073ca6434b91e9969d66d2a17d6075f74d
0xba38f6073ca6434b91e9969d66d2a17d6075f74d
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$922.90
Total PnL
$-136.10
Realised
$-78.80
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
250 shares @ 48.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$168.75
$48.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
390 shares @ 16.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$115.05
$52.65
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
166 shares @ 64.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$105.29
$-1.00
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$100.50
$25.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1763 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$87.28
$20.28
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
100 shares @ 65.1¢·now 72.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$72.65
$7.55
- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
225 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$61.88
$-1.13
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
260 shares @ 28.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.80
$-13.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
240 shares @ 59.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.60
$-84.00
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
350 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.23
$8.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 04:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$29.47Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$19.78Jun 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$21.59Jun 13, 13:57 UTC
- MERGEWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$279.99Jun 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$2.10Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$21.89Jun 13, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.34Jun 13, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$28.13Jun 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$24.20Jun 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.30Jun 13, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.43Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?$26.08Jun 13, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$71.40Jun 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$105.00Jun 13, 02:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.87Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$104.99Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $51.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.