Yellow-Carbon
0xba5afe656862029f411c5c28af111179dc039fb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$20.53
Total PnL
$-6.38
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
4 shares @ 80.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$4.27
$0.71
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
4 shares @ 90.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.57
$0.01
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$0.25
- GUSTAVO HEIDE
Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Maxim Mrva
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.94
$0.35
- NO
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.86
$0.01
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.85
$0.06
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.83
$0.10
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.67
$0.08
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.54
$-0.09
- NO
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPoznan: Gustavo Heide vs Maxim Mrva$1.60Jun 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley (Doubles): Bayldon/Schoolkate vs Bass/Duncan$1.86Jun 11, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$1.83Jun 3, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$1.63May 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$1.74May 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.23May 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.83May 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?$1.60May 14, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.59May 7, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$1.79May 1, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?$0.00Apr 23, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?$0.00Apr 23, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?$0.00Apr 23, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill OPEC hike production by next meeting?$0.00Apr 23, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.74Apr 23, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$1.63Apr 15, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$1.73Apr 8, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$1.96Apr 8, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$1.94Apr 1, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$1.99Apr 1, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $178.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.