Likely-Wolf
0xba69d4774550e6be3008fa49f33244396a949c9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$6.28
Total PnL
$-10.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.94
$-0.05
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 92.8¢·now 74.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.48
$-0.52
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
1400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-700.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$1.00Jan 26, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.03Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.08Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?$1.08Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.03Dec 12, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 11, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$2.07Dec 11, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.00Dec 11, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.07Dec 10, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.04Dec 8, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$1.00Dec 8, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.01Dec 6, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $40.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".