Capital-Headquarters
0xba74e2f41512e5231fee87f75b10e6f4263d3e0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-106.39
Realised
$1.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Venezuela win Miss Universe 2025?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$20.00
$2.80
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
214 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-27.82
- YES
Will Venezuela win Miss Universe 2025?
158 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.08
- YES
Will Google’s Gemini 3 Pro win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
139 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.15
- YES
Will Google’s Gemini 3 Pro lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
139 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.73
- YES
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
139 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.51
- YES
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
139 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.51
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kimi’s Kimi K2 Thinking lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill xAI’s Grok 4 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$0.00Dec 8, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$1.80Dec 3, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$10.71Dec 3, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$108.00Nov 24, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google’s Gemini 3 Pro win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$13.42Nov 24, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google’s Gemini 3 Pro win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$1.10Nov 24, 09:26 UTC
- REWARD$1.09Nov 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 23?$0.53Nov 23, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 23?$0.05Nov 23, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 23?$0.59Nov 23, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$12.90Nov 23, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$2.27Nov 23, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google’s Gemini 3 Pro lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$0.97Nov 23, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$6.39Nov 23, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$0.81Nov 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$1.30Nov 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google’s Gemini 3 Pro lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$0.70Nov 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$2.88Nov 23, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google’s Gemini 3 Pro lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$4.34Nov 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$4.96Nov 23, 02:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".