Familiar-Vane
0xba9549d199be7ac091a7ed1f0753461a88e55516
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-521.63
Realised
$-51.06
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 1?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
1321 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 27-November 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 October 27-November 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00May 24, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?$0.12May 24, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.17May 24, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$21.67May 24, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$20.05May 24, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$15.27May 24, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$20.55May 23, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$10.28May 23, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$10.28May 23, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$30.84May 23, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$87.66May 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$95.53May 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$7.13May 6, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$10.08May 5, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$8.64Mar 20, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$8.64Mar 20, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$6.03Mar 20, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$6.03Mar 20, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$4.09Mar 20, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $93.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 22:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.