Scented-Choir
0xba9ad9130a62b3be8d9e7d828b859cc894d358a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$9.29
Total PnL
$-33.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
29 shares @ 21.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.29
$3.29
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
510 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?
498 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
122 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
55 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?
54 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
37 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$1.29Apr 7, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$4.00Apr 7, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$2.74Apr 7, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$1.21Apr 7, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$2.00Apr 2, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.00Apr 2, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$1.00Apr 2, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$4.00Apr 2, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$10.00Apr 2, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?$2.00Mar 16, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Sam Altman in March 2026?$1.79Mar 16, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hillary say "White House" during her Epstein testimony?$0.00Mar 7, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?$9.00Mar 6, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in March 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Sam Altman in March 2026?$3.00Mar 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaroline Leavitt out by March 31?$2.00Mar 6, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$5.00Mar 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.