Illustrious-Spectacles
0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$2.4M
Total PnL
$1.1M
Realised
$49.3K
Win rate
62%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
951803 shares @ 14.7¢·now 88.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$841.9K
$702.3K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
289842 shares @ 66.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$259.4K
$67.8K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
220091 shares @ 63.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.8K
$54.5K
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
101243 shares @ 86.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.7K
$8.3K
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
219393 shares @ 25.4¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.3K
$38.7K
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
90725 shares @ 77.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.1K
$19.9K
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
101102 shares @ 80.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$85.9K
$5.0K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
71714 shares @ 74.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.6K
$12.3K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
64573 shares @ 51.2¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.4K
$14.3K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
44963 shares @ 80.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.6K
$8.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$32.55Jun 15, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$33.48Jun 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$26.97Jun 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$48.36Jun 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$28.83Jun 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$47.43Jun 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$32.55Jun 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$181.35Jun 15, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$29.76Jun 15, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$43.71Jun 15, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$26.97Jun 15, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$31.62Jun 15, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$53.94Jun 15, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$29.76Jun 15, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$43.71Jun 15, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$51.03Jun 15, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$2.8KJun 15, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$742.28Jun 15, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by December 31?$242.82Jun 15, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$58.80Jun 15, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$63.9K
Trades
9
Buy share
72%
Window
May 24, 04:00 UTC → Jun 14, 18:45 UTC
- BUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$5.6K@73¢Jun 14, 18:45 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$8.6K@89¢Jun 12, 13:09 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6.5K@4¢Jun 11, 03:58 UTC
- BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$7.5K@99¢Jun 1, 00:54 UTC
- BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.5K@95¢May 31, 02:02 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$9.7K@5¢May 26, 02:35 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$8.1K@7¢May 26, 02:35 UTC
- BUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$5.2K@69¢May 25, 21:50 UTC
- BUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$7.3K@76¢May 24, 03:54 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$20.7K
3 trades
30d volume
$63.9K
9 trades
Buy share
72%
Sample
limited
9 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
$17.8K · 28% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.