Determined-Tomato
0xbace5a5a9e309d69164dc81788d353fed8d43429
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$318.7K
Total PnL
$26.5K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
41056 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$41.0K
$314.20
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
38547 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$36.6K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
34289 shares @ 82.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.7K
$1.2K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
27812 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$27.7K
$273.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
23194 shares @ 77.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.0K
$3.0K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
21098 shares @ 66.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.5K
$4.4K
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
19946 shares @ 79.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.4K
$2.7K
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
16811 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.7K
$384.63
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
13422 shares @ 57.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.2K
$3.6K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
9890 shares @ 94.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.8K
$423.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$631.13Jul 28, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$5.3KJul 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?$1.7KJul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?$58.80Jul 28, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$112.26Jul 28, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$16.79Jul 28, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$78.33Jul 28, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$33.46Jul 28, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$612.80Jul 28, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$1.5KJul 28, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?$3.00Jul 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?$3.00Jul 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$915.73Jul 28, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$174.00Jul 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$435.00Jul 28, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$450.73Jul 28, 02:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.52Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$6.88Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.26Jul 27, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$5.05Jul 27, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $695.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.