Weepy-Rear
0xbafba9a1f11f68692f42349b04a0a5452ef12468
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$770.28
Total PnL
$-460.43
Realised
$-66.44
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
21790 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$490.29
$-22.49
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
3697 shares @ 10.8¢·now 5.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.25
$-207.02
- YES
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?
1581 shares @ 2.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$87.75
$52.30
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
6942 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-46.79
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5652 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-129.99
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
222 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.14Jul 26, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.03Jul 26, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.11Jul 26, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.16Jul 26, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.12Jul 26, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.19Jul 26, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.09Jul 26, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.17Jul 26, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 26, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.03Jul 26, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.12Jul 26, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.99Jul 26, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Jul 26, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 26, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.12Jul 26, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?$1.39Jul 26, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.15Jul 26, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 26, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $37.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.