0xbb15104510f9c6117e208ae0f68845a6b218df4c
0xbb15104510f9c6117e208ae0f68845a6b218df4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$310.45
Realised
$70.34
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
800 shares @ 77.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$636.00
$20.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
545 shares @ 92.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$515.41
$12.54
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
352 shares @ 63.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$325.90
$102.86
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
300 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$292.65
$4.65
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
300 shares @ 55.0¢·now 70.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$210.29
$45.30
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 94.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$193.90
$5.10
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$193.10
$7.10
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$165.00
$-3.00
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$151.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?
144 shares @ 93.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$142.51
$7.19
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.16May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.15May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.15May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$146.00May 18, 08:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$372.00May 17, 23:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.00May 16, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?$0.00May 16, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 16, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 16, 11:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.51May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$118.46May 11, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$616.00May 11, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$0.00May 10, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $86.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".