Another-Parenting
0xbb2e58504db6b05f50ff2ec146189d4abbd05bbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$31.0K
Total PnL
$953.71
Realised
$50.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
4937 shares @ 92.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$219.44
- NO
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
4400 shares @ 90.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$4.3K
$366.07
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
3451 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.4K
$31.57
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3129 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$-9.14
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2926 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.8K
$27.80
- NO
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
2589 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$2.6K
$141.38
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
2546 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.5K
$17.55
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1605 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$40.12
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
1398 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$12.36
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
1334 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$17.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping on July 14?$69.91Jul 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$914.37Jul 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$914.40Jul 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?$1.0KJul 17, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$2.2KJul 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?$1.0KJul 17, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.0KJul 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?$480.15Jul 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$604.03Jul 15, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.2KJul 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$38.40Jul 15, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$500.82Jul 15, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$200.07Jul 15, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$100.34Jul 15, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$300.21Jul 15, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.0KJul 15, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$1.2KJul 15, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by August 31?$161.00Jul 15, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$88.33Jul 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$801.72Jul 15, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 22:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.