Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$28.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5238h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5238.2h
- 17:50SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5238h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 11¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.