Careless-Stove
0xbb34d9b18a9a17b0d1deb0d2bf414e1e8879a600
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$109.08
Total PnL
$-904.12
Realised
$-1.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
111 shares @ 52.6¢·now 66.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.96
$15.61
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
30 shares @ 66.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.34
$9.34
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.79
$3.79
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
2548 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7PM ET
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 2, 10AM ET
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3AM ET
499 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 3AM ET
477 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-0.48
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8PM ET
333 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1PM ET
327 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$58.35Apr 27, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$20.00Apr 17, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.54Apr 10, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.18Apr 5, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$17.50Apr 5, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$1.64Apr 4, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$2.13Apr 3, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$3.45Apr 1, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$4.23Apr 1, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$8.33Apr 1, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$11.24Apr 1, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$11.49Apr 1, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Mar 31, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$1.34Mar 30, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.30Mar 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$10.00Mar 22, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 21, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$1.02Mar 21, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$2.48Mar 21, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$2.60Mar 20, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".