0xbb3da1fdd1728f9aec2c6ee29c8e18b9fc3e2ed2
0xbb3da1fdd1728f9aec2c6ee29c8e18b9fc3e2ed2
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$74.35
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-633.67
Win rate
19%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
32 shares @ 70.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$28.00
$5.31
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
15 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$15.27
$6.72
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.00
$1.10
- NO
Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?
10 shares @ 90.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.08
$0.98
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$10.00
$0.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 11?
320 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-104.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 11?
317 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-34.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10?
204 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-75.72
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
200 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-53.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 16?
156 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-39.92
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.