Kosher-Somersault
0xbb45677b57a050ebd5990d4535687050226b1a6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- JOEL ÁLVAREZ
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
1238 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-425.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?
1120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.08
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?
1100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
900 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
770 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
700 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will Disney say "Debt" during earnings call?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
500 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$337.09Jun 11, 14:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 25, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $256.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.