UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
Probability
54¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$36.24
Liquidity
$403.87
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 355.4h
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 52¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 52¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 52¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 52¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 52¢0.0pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢+1.5pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢+0.5pp
Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 48¢0.0pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 53¢0.0pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢+0.1pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yaroslav Amosov" if Yaroslav Amosov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Joel Álvarez" if Joel Álvarez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).