Left-Apology
0xbb62bd9ff96564c0b30b6ce1133b74990b58f514
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 237.5
8490 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.3K
- BUCKS
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)
1746 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-908.00
- YES
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
10 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- OVER
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$10.36Jul 14, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 3.5$3.10Jul 13, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$8.09Jul 13, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$6.12Jul 13, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$24.39Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$23.67Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$20.11Jun 16, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$16.02Jun 16, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.64Jun 16, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?$5.19May 18, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.05May 18, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.03May 18, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.11May 18, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5$23.68Apr 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5$13.44Apr 10, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Grizzlies$2.15Apr 10, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Warriors$3.53Apr 10, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Nuggets$3.53Apr 10, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$2.17Mar 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Warriors$3.00Mar 25, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $142.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.