Plump-Harpsichord
0xbb676c708a59af802697ee6f40e33fd9f7ccf411
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$16.91
Total PnL
$-4.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
1 shares @ 80.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$1.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.00Feb 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$1.00Feb 6, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keon Ellis be traded this season?$1.00Jan 28, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.00Jan 22, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.00Jan 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.00Dec 25, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Dec 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Dec 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?$1.00Nov 27, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 20, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 6, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Oct 30, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 23, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the October Fed decision?$1.00Oct 16, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill A'ja Wilson lead the WNBA in points per game this season?$1.08Oct 9, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.17Oct 9, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Rattler start Week 1 for the Saints?$1.37Oct 9, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?$1.00Oct 9, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Sep 24, 11:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.