0xbb83b691932cb1c91faea4c19c9ab358a03d606f
0xbb83b691932cb1c91faea4c19c9ab358a03d606f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$502.62
Total PnL
$-56.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Exact Score: Botafogo FR 1 - 2 EC Vitória?
51 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$51.41
$3.08
- NO
Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 3 - 1 FC Midtjylland?
51 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$50.72
$2.59
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
45 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$45.11
$1.89
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
44 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$44.45
$1.60
- NO
Exact Score: Portland Timbers 3 - 1 FC Dallas?
32 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$32.01
$1.57
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
28 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$27.54
$0.57
- NO
Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
27 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$26.56
$1.00
- NO
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
28 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$25.34
$-1.27
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
25 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$24.76
$1.36
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
34 shares @ 86.0¢·now 61.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.19
$-8.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9.99Jul 24, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$9.73Jul 24, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$23.40Jul 24, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$15.57Jul 24, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Botafogo FR 1 - 2 EC Vitória?$48.33Jul 23, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Beşiktaş JK 3 - 1 FC Midtjylland?$48.13Jul 23, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$32.59Jul 23, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?$28.45Jul 23, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$16.79Jul 23, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$17.93Jul 23, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$26.97Jul 23, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portland Timbers 3 - 1 FC Dallas?$30.44Jul 23, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$16.62Jul 22, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$30.26Jul 22, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Denia: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mario Arce Fernandez$9.30Jul 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Denia: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mario Arce Fernandez$9.30Jul 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Denia: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mario Arce Fernandez$4.44Jul 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Denia: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mario Arce Fernandez$9.30Jul 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Denia: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mario Arce Fernandez$0.16Jul 22, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tigers FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?$33.11Jul 22, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $17.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.