Blushing-Tenor
0xbb925aef553f3f1745103d7ac1974152609b701c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$202.31
Total PnL
$-206.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
198 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$137.86
$-1.01
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
84 shares @ 41.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$35.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
134 shares @ 0.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.05
$5.05
- YES
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.42
$0.42
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.60
$0.60
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$140.12Jun 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?$0.89Jun 21, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.65Jun 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?$0.12Jun 21, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?$3.59Jun 21, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$1.76Jun 21, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal?$4.52Jun 21, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?$5.15Jun 21, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?$5.14Jun 21, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?$5.14Jun 21, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$5.14Jun 21, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$5.13Jun 21, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$152.31Jun 21, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$103.06Jun 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?$5.13Jun 20, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Curaçao?$5.14Jun 20, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao?$5.12Jun 20, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$118.49Jun 20, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$80.26Jun 20, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$80.13Jun 20, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 16:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.