Joyful-Bake
0xbbc8d5b2d5a4c5161b2c873a3a1f93dea2da2297
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-754.34
Realised
$1.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
14147 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-91.98
- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
3769 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-215.00
- YES
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?
1365 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.63
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 10%?
1002 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
780 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?
331 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.90
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?
320 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$136.14May 16, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$73.66May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$73.80May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$49.72May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$12.00Dec 22, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$11.34Dec 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$20.00Dec 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$10.00Dec 21, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$50.00Dec 19, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$15.00Dec 18, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$15.00Dec 18, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$77.21Dec 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?$20.00Dec 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$10.00Dec 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrii Yermak arrested by December 31?$44.81Dec 12, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$50.00Dec 11, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?$100.75Dec 10, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?$100.00Dec 10, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?$100.00Dec 10, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$50.00Dec 10, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $59.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".