Infinite-War
0xbbe3fb94608928651123d69231c0213ef6e75b92
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$157.54
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-142.88
Win rate
23%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
155 shares @ 19.3¢·now 17.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.11
$-2.89
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
55 shares @ 36.3¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$20.66
$0.66
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$9.38
$-0.63
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
83 shares @ 12.1¢·now 10.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$-0.95
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$8.75
$-1.25
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.32
$-2.68
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.71
$-3.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$10.00Jul 29, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$35.88Jul 28, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$12.77Jul 28, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$10.00Jul 28, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$30.00Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$10.00Jul 28, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$12.54Jul 28, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$10.00Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$10.00Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 28, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELL0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$9.86Jul 27, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$25.65Jul 27, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$29.01Jul 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$20.00Jul 27, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$30.00Jul 27, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$12.08Jul 26, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$12.06Jul 25, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$10.00Jul 24, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$10.00Jul 24, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$10.00Jul 24, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.