0xbbf14afe95444eb25c9ab8bb83dafa2b841db72d
0xbbf14afe95444eb25c9ab8bb83dafa2b841db72d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$101.93
Total PnL
$45.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
142 shares @ 17.6¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.33
$30.33
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
76 shares @ 25.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$42.89
$23.91
- NO
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.31
$-1.69
- NO
Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by August 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.03
$-5.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 12, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$0.00Jul 12, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$31.20Jul 12, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 11:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$22.28Jul 10, 23:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande officially release Petal by August 31, 2026?$2.11Jul 8, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$4.13Jul 8, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.14Jul 8, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.17Jul 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.19Jul 8, 08:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $9.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.