Unrealistic-Kingdom
0xbc1b1e935cf5a06f9378fe2b249338649dc29d59
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$465.6K
Total PnL
$-139.2K
Realised
$-18.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300000 shares @ 19.6¢·now 22.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$68.8K
$10.0K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300000 shares @ 12.8¢·now 20.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$62.8K
$24.5K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
80000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.2K
$400.00
- NO
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
60028 shares @ 83.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$50.7K
$789.85
- NO
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
59999 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$48.9K
$-306.00
- NO
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
35318 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$34.0K
$25.22
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300000 shares @ 13.6¢·now 10.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.9K
$-8.8K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300000 shares @ 12.5¢·now 10.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.0K
$-6.4K
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
40000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$23.0K
$200.00
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
21917 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.5K
$109.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$9.00Jun 28, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$9.00Jun 28, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$90.00Jun 28, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$4.78Jun 28, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$501.30Jun 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$45.00Jun 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$18.00Jun 28, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$9.00Jun 28, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$17.46Jun 28, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$41.40Jun 28, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$13.98Jun 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$90.00Jun 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$4.93Jun 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$90.00Jun 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$180.00Jun 28, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$4.90Jun 28, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$315.00Jun 28, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$90.00Jun 28, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$4.93Jun 28, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$3.0KJun 28, 05:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$111.0K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 21, 04:40 UTC → Jun 28, 05:01 UTC
- BUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?$11.0K@94¢Jun 27, 00:45 UTC
- BUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?$39.8K@100¢Jun 21, 04:33 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 7 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$11.0K
1 trades
30d volume
$50.8K
2 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
7 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?
$39.8K · 36% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.