Granular-Bitter
0xbc270d458723840b7787de151ed340532b3154a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.79
Total PnL
$-7.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on June 10?
321 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 12?
12 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?$1.04Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 13, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13?$1.03Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-18?$0.99Jun 13, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$1.02Jun 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-18?$1.01Jun 11, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 11, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12?$2.06Jun 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 12?$2.08Jun 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?$13.81Jun 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?$2.06Jun 11, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?$3.09Jun 10, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 10?$5.04Jun 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 10?$6.16Jun 10, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on June 10?$1.05Jun 10, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 9?$5.69Jun 9, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 9?$5.13Jun 9, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.00May 22, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 22, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$0.00May 22, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.